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Cook Political Report Shifts Ratings In Trump’s Favor In 6 States

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Donald Trump via Gage Skidmore Flickr

The Cook Political Report, widely respected across the political spectrum for its precise election forecasts, recently adjusted its presidential race ratings in six key states, all favoring former President Donald Trump.

The shift comes amidst a backdrop of national and state polls indicating a modest yet consistent increase in support for Trump over President Joe Biden.

Key State Changes

The Cook Political Report has reclassified:

  • Arizona, Georgia and Nevada from “toss-up” to “lean Republican.”
  • Minnesota and New Hampshire from “likely Democrat” to “lean Democrat.”
  • Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District from “likely Democrat” to “lean Democrat.”

Nebraska and Maine are the only states that allocate their electoral votes by congressional district, making the competitive Omaha-based 2nd District a target for both campaigns.

Electoral Vote Implications

The changes significantly impact the electoral map, with Trump now leading in states totaling 268 electoral votes, just two votes short of the required 270 for victory. In contrast, Biden leads in states accounting for 226 electoral votes.

Expert Analysis

In a social media post, Dave Wasserman, a senior editor at Cook Political Report, argued that it was overly optimistic to label the presidential race as a toss-up even before the debates.

“Today, Trump has a clear advantage over Biden and a much more plausible path to 270 Electoral votes,” Wasserman noted.

Additionally, during an appearance on CNN, Amy Walter, Cook Report’s publisher and editor-in-chief, elaborated on the political shifts underpinning these changes.

โ€œWhat weโ€™re seeing is the real erosion of support from Biden among voters of color,” Walter explained back in May. “This is the reason he [Biden] is doing worse in Arizona, Nevada and Georgia, where Hispanic and African Americans make up a significant share of the vote.โ€ [emphasis added]

Polling Data

Supporting these insights, the latest RealClearPolitics national polling average shows Trump leading Biden by 3 percentage points. In crucial swing states, Trumpโ€™s lead is even more pronounced:

  • Arizona: +5.4 points
  • Georgia: +4 points
  • Michigan: +0.6 points
  • Nevada: +5.2 points
  • North Carolina: +5.8 points
  • Pennsylvania: +5.3 points
  • Wisconsin: +2.2 points

Conclusion

The latest adjustments by the Cook Political Report highlight a rapidly shifting landscape in the 2024 presidential race. With Trump’s increasing traction in key states and growing concerns about Biden’s ability to simply do the job, the GOP’s path to the presidency appears more wide open than ever.

READ NEXT: Trump Family Member Steps Forward As Long-Shot VP Candidate

Bill Maher Open To Voting Republican – But With Some Changes

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Missvain, CC BY 4.0 via Wikimedia Commons

Comedian and longtime liberal commentator Bill Maher told Fareed Zakaria on CNNโ€™s GPS that he could โ€œof courseโ€ envision voting Republican โ€” but only if the party becomes something markedly different than what it has been.

Maher, who has been a longtime critic of Donald Trump and a traditional supporter of Democrats, laid out a number of caveats before making such a move. โ€œThey would have to certainly lose the idea of โ€˜we donโ€™t concede elections,โ€™โ€ he said.

He added his biggest concern:

โ€œAnd my biggest worry is that they feel that the excesses of the left are so great, that they are so antiโ€common sense. And again, theyโ€™re not completely wrong about that โ€” that they are so โ€” never met something that was counterintuitive that they didnโ€™t embrace. That they just canโ€™t let these people take power and, therefore, even if there has to โ€” if democracy has to be sacrificed for hanging on to power,โ€ Maher said.

Maher also questioned the GOPโ€™s longโ€term commitment to democratic norms after Trump:

โ€œWill they still keep that idea that we cannot let these people take power? These people who just do not have any idea of common sense, they want to reinvent everything. They are revolutionaries in a country that is not asking for [a] revolution โ€” theyโ€™re just asking for politicians to fix things. That is my biggest concern.โ€ He noted a hope for a โ€œreturn to normalcyโ€ after Trump โ€” though he expressed skepticism.

At the same time, Maher acknowledged areas where he believes Trump was right:

He pointed out the border, DEI (diversity, equity, inclusion) initiatives, and NATO contributions. โ€œHe showed that you can close the border. It wasnโ€™t something you needed congressional help for. You could just do it, and he did it. He just did it too far. And people don’t like to see people tackled at Home Depot and people they know who have been in this country for a long time.โ€

He wrapped up by hitting both parties:

โ€œWhy canโ€™t either one be normal?โ€ he asked rhetorically.


Why this matters for Republicans

Maherโ€™s comments underscore a key opportunity and challenge for the GOP: there are nonโ€traditional voices who might vote Republican โ€” but only if the party reaffirms core democratic norms and commonโ€sense governance rather than radical transformation. If Republicans continue to be associated with election denial, extreme rhetoric, or sweeping change beyond what voters ask for, they risk alienating such swing voices.

For Republican-leaning audiences focused on policy, governance, and institutional credibility, Maherโ€™s remarks are a reminder that expanding the partyโ€™s appeal may hinge more on tone and norms than just raw policy wins.

Florida CFO To Run For Matt Gaetz’s Former House Seat

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Photo via Gage Skidmore Flickr

Florida Chief Financial Officer Jimmy Patronis plans to run for U.S. Congress, he indicated in a resignation letter.

In the letter toย Sunshine Stateย Gov. Ron DeSantis and Florida Secretary of State Cory Byrd, Patronis said, “โ€ฆ this letter is to give you notice of my resignation from the role as Chief Financial Officer (CFO) of the State of Florida in order to become a candidate in the 2025 Special Election for Florida’s First Congressional District.

“Because the primary election for CD 1 is currently scheduled for January 28, 2025, with the general election scheduled for April 1, 2025, I hereby irrevocably resign as CFO effective March 31, 2025.”

In a post on Truth Social on Monday,ย President-elect Donald Trumpย urged Patronis to run for the House seat.

“I hear that Jimmy is now considering launching a Campaign for Congress in Florida’s 1st Congressional District!” Trump said in the post. 

“Should he decide to enter this Race, Jimmy Patronis has my Complete and Total Endorsement. RUN, JIMMY, RUN!” Trump declared.

Patronis shared a screenshot of Trump’s post and wrote in a post on X, “Put me to work, Mr. President! @realDonaldTrump I am here to serve.”

Former Rep. Matt Gaetz won re-election to the House seat earlier this month but resigned shortly after Trump tapped him for attorney general.ย 

Last week, Gaetz withdrew his name from consideration for the Cabinet position after the President-elect reportedly informed him her did not have the required Senate support for confirmation.

Trump-Backed Candidate Vows To Pardon Cop Convicted Of Manslaughter In Death Of Fleeing Suspect

A Trump-endorsed Republican running for New York governor is making a bold promise: heโ€™ll pardon an NYPD sergeant sent to prison over a split-second decision that turned deadly.

Bruce Blakeman made the pledge outside City Hall, throwing his support behind former Sgt. Erik Duranโ€”now facing three to nine years behind bars for the 2023 death of a fleeing suspect.

โ€œI took this job to save lives,โ€ Duran told a judge at sentencing. โ€œI felt terrible once I saw Eric Duprey crash.โ€

Duprey, 30, had just sold drugs to an undercover officer and sped off on a motorized scooter when Duranโ€”working in plainclothesโ€”grabbed a nearby cooler and hurled it.

The cooler struck Duprey. He lost control. Moments later, he was dead.

Prosecutors wanted even more timeโ€”pushing for a five- to 15-year sentenceโ€”but Bronx Judge Guy Mitchell said the case should send a message.

โ€œThey had enough to investigate and catch him on a different day,โ€ Mitchell said. โ€œThe distinction is that the deceased will no longer be seen again by his family.โ€

The ruling stunned police advocates, who say the conviction punishes a cop for making a high-pressure call in the line of duty.

โ€œIt wasnโ€™t only Sgt. Duranโ€ฆ Every law enforcement officer who makes a split-second decisionโ€ฆ was also on trial,โ€ said Vincent Vallelong, head of the NYPD Sergeants Benevolent Association, calling it โ€œone of the darkest daysโ€ for the force.

Duranโ€”believed to be the first NYPD officer in decades imprisoned over a duty-related deathโ€”has already been fired and is expected to appeal.

Blakeman, currently Nassau County executive and a former Port Authority official during 9/11, is now turning the case into a campaign flashpoint as he takes on Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul.

With Trumpโ€™s backing and a law-and-order message, the race is quickly becoming a referendum on policing, prosecutionโ€”and where New York draws the line.

READ NEXT: Congressmanโ€™s Sudden Death Upends Key Race

Amanda Head: Republicans Screwed Out Of Electoral Votes

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The U.S. Census underreported populations in multiple Republican-leaning states, costing them representation in Congress, the Electoral College, and more…

Watch Amanda break down the situation below.

Lara Trump Teases โ€˜Manyโ€™ Trumps May Run For Office

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Donald Trump via Gage Skidmore Flickr

Fox News host Lara Trump suggested on Tuesday that โ€œmanyโ€ members of the Trump family could eventually pursue political office, hinting that the political ambitions of President Donald Trumpโ€™s relatives may extend beyond his own career. Her comments came during an appearance on Miranda Devineโ€™s Pod Force One podcast.

Reflecting on her father-in-lawโ€™s influence, Lara Trump said, โ€œI have looked at my father-in-law over the past eleven, almost twelve years now, and Iโ€™ve watched the impact that heโ€™s been able to make in peopleโ€™s lives and itโ€™s amazing. Look, heโ€™s dealt with hell, right? He has gone through so much.โ€ She added that watching Trumpโ€™s persistence has inspired โ€œeveryone in our familyโ€ and left open the possibility that more Trumps could enter electoral politics:

โ€œโ€ฆIโ€™d consider running for a possible Senate seat. So I would never say never to anything. What I do feel like, and whether itโ€™s for Donald Trump runningโ€ฆ or a Senate run, or whatever it might be for me or I think anyone in our family, I think the timing has to be rightโ€ฆโ€

Lara Trump noted that timing thwarted her own past efforts, pointing to earlier years when a run โ€œdidnโ€™t work outโ€ โ€” a reference to when she considered but ultimately declined Senate bids in 2022 and again in 2025.

Turning to the question of broader family ambitions, she said, โ€œweโ€™ve all kind of dipped our toe in the water of politics enough to know that itโ€™s something that I think possibly interests many of us in our familyโ€ฆโ€ before acknowledging that Democrats โ€œwould love to hear that it may not end just with Donald Trump.โ€

When asked whether former President Trump encourages potential family runs, Lara Trump replied that he has been โ€œabsolutely a championโ€ of her own political endeavors, calling her regularly with names of supporters urging her to run. She added that Trump โ€œcertainly would have their backsโ€ if any of the family chose to seek office.

Devine closed the discussion by musing that the future might bring a โ€œPresident Trump of the new generation,โ€ perhaps from among โ€œall threeโ€ of Trumpโ€™s children or close relatives.

Context: Past Speculation About Trump Family Political Runs

Lara Trumpโ€™s comments tap into ongoing speculation that the Trump family might try to extend its influence beyond Donald Trumpโ€™s own career:

โ€ข Lara Trump and the North Carolina Senate:
Before deciding not to run, Lara Trump was widely viewed as a potential Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in North Carolina after Senator Thom Tillis announced his retirement, drawing substantial interest from GOP leaders and national strategists. Georgia Republicans had even paused their own campaigns pending her decision. However, she ultimately chose not to enter the race, and former RNC Chair Michael Whatley has since picked up key endorsements from Donald Trump and Lara for the seat.

โ€ข Other Trump family members:
There has also been public conversation about other Trump relatives entering politics. Eric Trump, the presidentโ€™s second son, spoke in mid-2025 about the possibility that he โ€” or other family members โ€” could seek public office in the future, suggesting a โ€œTrump political dynastyโ€ might emerge beyond Donald Trumpโ€™s own presidency. Eric said a political career for the family โ€œwould be an easy oneโ€ if the relatives were willing to commit, though no formal campaigns have been launched.

Meanwhile, Donald Trump Jr. has maintained a high public profile through media and podcasting, and Ivanka Trump served as a senior adviser during her fatherโ€™s earlier presidency, though she has since stepped back from active politics. Other younger family members, like Tiffany Trump and Barron Trump, have been less involved publicly, and there is no indication they have declared political intentions

Federal Judge Appointed By Trump Quits Prominent Judicial Group

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Gavel via Wikimedia Commons Image

He’s had enough…

A federal judge who was appointed by President Donald Trump recently resigned from the largest association of federal judges, decrying how the group issued a rare statement last week condemning recent alleged threats against judges but stayed quiet for years while conservative members of the judiciary faced scrutiny and attack.

Judge James C. Ho, of the New Orleans-based U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit, announced his departure from the Federal Judges Association during a speaking event Saturday hosted by the conservative Federalist Society at the University of Michigan Law School. It comes in response to the 1,100-member group issuing a statement on March 5 saying in part that “judges must be permitted to do their jobs without fear of violence or intimidation of any kind.” Trump and his allies have grown increasingly critical of judges who have blocked the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) and other aspects of the administration’s agenda, whileย DOGE leader Elon Muskย last month called for an “immediate wave of judicial impeachments.”ย 

“I was very surprised by that statement. And the next morning, I sent an email to the organization saying that I wanted to resign,” Ho said of the Federal Judges Association. “I researched for myself, and I also asked the association if they ever issued any such statements when Justice Thomas received attacks, or Justice Alito. Justice Kavanaugh dealt with an assassination attempt. Weโ€™ve had federal district judges in Texas and in Florida โ€“ as well as, Iโ€™m sure, other states, but those are the ones that come to mind immediately โ€“ all faced the kinds of things that that statement was complaining about and more. Did we see these statements in 2024 or 2023 or 2022? From what I can tell, no.” 

“You canโ€™t say that youโ€™re in favor of judicial independence only when it comes to decisions that you like. Thatโ€™s not protecting the judiciary, thatโ€™s politicizing the judiciary,” Ho said, arguing that such statements actually harm the cause they try to further. “Because one of two things turns out to be true when youโ€™re selective in this way. And either of these options, I think, is a bad thing. Option number one is that youโ€™re basically lying, that you actually donโ€™t care about this principle because you didnโ€™t stand up for it when the shoe was on the other foot, and so youโ€™re telling the world essentially weโ€™re not seriously committed to judicial independence.” 

“The alternative is perhaps even worse, which is that you are telling the truth โ€“ you do care about this, this principle, whether itโ€™s judicial independence or free speech. I think this concept applies to a lot of things,” Ho continued. “If youโ€™re telling the truth, you really care about this principle, but there are just some people who have views that are so anathema to you that you donโ€™t think they are worthy of this principle that you expound on.” 

“And so what you may think is a statement born of righteousness I think is perceived by a lot of people as merely sanctimonious,” he concluded.ย 

The president of the Federal Judges Association, U.S. Circuit Judge J. Michelle Childs, who was appointed by former President Joe Biden, wrote in an email to members last week that the “judiciary faces growing threats, including violence, intimidation, disinformation, and unprecedented impeachments that challenge its independence,” according to Reuters. 

The Federal Judges Association then released a lengthier public statement the next day that did not elaborate on specific threats against specific judges. 

DeSantis Suggests Musk Pursue Constitutional Amendments Instead Of Establishing New Political Party

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Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis suggested that billionaire CEO Elon Musk push for balanced budget and congressional term limit amendments to the U.S. Constitution, rather than build a new political party.

Musk, who has been outspoken about the need to rein in government spending, announced that he is launching a new political party called the America Party. 

“Backing a candidate for president is not out of the question, but the focus for the next 12 months is on the House and the Senate,” he noted in a post on X.

The governor suggested that if Musk funds candidates in competitive Senate and House contests, Democrats will likely win.

But DeSantis acknowledged that the GOP has an issue with people running on spending less, but then failing to do so. “There’s a gap between the campaign rhetoric, and then the performance,” he said.

He explained that he does not believe “electing a few better people” will alter the “trajectory” on the debt issue.

DeSantis said that the “incentives” in D.C. will “lead to these outcomes, really, regardless of the outcome of elections at this point,” asserting that a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution is needed.

Musk “would have a monumental impact” if he got involved, DeSantis said.

Billionaire Elon Musk announced the launch of his new political party on Saturday, but has yet to share any further details on how he plans to navigate the red tape to establish a viable alternative.

Musk on Saturday appeared to confirm his intention to launch his โ€œAmerica Party,โ€ after posting a poll to his X account the prior day asking followers whether or not he should create the new party.

โ€œBy a factor of 2 to 1, you want a new political party and you shall have it! When it comes to bankrupting our country with waste & graft, we live in a one-party system, not a democracy,โ€ he wrote. โ€œToday, the America Party is formed to give you back your freedom.โ€

Elon Muskโ€™s plan to launch a new US political party could split the Republicans, Donald Trumpโ€™s allies have warned.

Michael Cohen Makes Plea To Trump For A Pardon

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Photo via Gage Skidmore Flickr

On Tuesday, Michael Cohen, once President Donald Trumpโ€™s personal lawyer and later one of his fiercest critics, appeared on Dan Abramsโ€™ SiriusXM show to discuss a wide range of topicsโ€”from his treatment in prison to a plea for pardons.

During the interview, Cohen revealed that he has written letters to both President Joe Biden and Donald Trump urging sweeping clemency for Americans with criminal records who have paid their debt to society. Reading from the letter he sent to Trump, Cohen said:

โ€œIt is urged clearly, unequivocally, and without delay that the president issue an executive order granting a full and unconditional pardon to all non-violent felons who have completed their sentences. This act would be more than a gesture of compassion.โ€

He continued:

โ€œIt would be a defining stroke of moral leadership. Over 70 million Americans carry the lifelong burden of a criminal record, despite having fulfilled their legal debt to society. They are our neighbors, coworkers, parents, veterans, and citizens who live under silent exile, denied employment, housing, education, and the right to fully participate in the country they call home. With a single act, the burden can be lifted.โ€

Cohen even coined a name for the plan: โ€œTEPO, the Trump Emancipation Proclamation Order.โ€ He argued that such a move could be โ€œthe single most important act of kindness that any president can bestow on 70 million Americans and their families.โ€

While this appeal may surprise some given their adversarial past, it comes amid a historically expansive use of Trumpโ€™s clemency powers in his second presidential term. Since returning to the White House in January 2025, President Trump has issued thousands of pardons and commutations, including blanket clemency for roughly 1,500 individuals connected to the January 6, 2021, Capitol events and a number of high-profile figures such as Ross Ulbricht and others.

Trumpโ€™s defenders argue these pardons are part of his ongoing fight against what he describes as a politicized justice system, correcting overreach and restoring fairness where the courts or prosecutors exceeded their bounds. Opponents often frame the clemency spree as politically motivated, though Trumpโ€™s supporters see it as a restoration of constitutional pardon authority to benefit everyday Americans and loyal citizens alike.


Cohenโ€™s Prison Treatment and Claims About Bill Barr

Cohen also recounted his own prison experience after being sentenced in 2018 to three years for tax evasion, bank fraud, and lying to Congress. He described harsh conditions and claimed that then-Attorney General Bill Barr had him sent back to prison under what he characterized as โ€œdraconian conditions,โ€ with extreme cold and heat in holding areas that made his time there especially difficult.


Break with MeidasTouch and Media Fallout

Cohen addressed his recent departure from the MeidasTouch Network, a left-leaning media company that cut ties with him after a Substack post in which he suggested prosecutors coerced him into testifying against Trump. Cohen insisted:

โ€œIt is true, not personal. โ€ฆ I specifically state that I am not here to defend Donald Trump. That is not the intention of this statement which I wrote or my Substack article.โ€

He described the split as a misunderstanding driven by headlines rather than the full context of his words.


The Trumpโ€“Cohen History

The rift between Trump and Cohen runs deep. Once a loyal lawyer who said he would โ€œtake a bulletโ€ for Trump, Cohen later turned on his former boss, cooperating with prosecutors and ultimately testifying in Trumpโ€™s New York criminal caseโ€”where Trump was convicted on business-record charges related to reimbursements made to Cohen during the 2016 campaign.

At the time Cohen was seeking a pardon from Trump, that relief never materialized. Trump publicly brushed off questions about pardoning Cohen, reportedly saying, โ€œmost people will flip if the Government lets them out of trouble.โ€

Watch the full interview below:

CNN Facing Widespread Ridicule After Cartel Interview Goes Off The Rails

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The lamestream media is at it again…

CNN is in hot water after an interview with a Mexican drug cartel member took an unexpected turn.

The interview, aired Saturday, featured CNN correspondent Isobel Yeung questioning a heavily disguised cartel member in an undisclosed hideout in Mexico, according to the New York Post.

Trump designated the Mexico-based Sinaloa Cartel as a Foreign Terrorist Organization in a January 20 executive order, with the State Department writing that the cartel is โ€œone of the largest producers and traffickers of fentanyl and other illicit drugs to the United States.โ€

โ€œAccording to the Trump administration, you are a terrorist. โ€ฆ What do you make of that?โ€ Yeung asked.

The masked gangster, wearing sunglasses and latex gloves to conceal his identity, initially responded, โ€œWell, the situation is ugly, but we have to eat.โ€

When asked what he would say directly to Trump, the cartel member didnโ€™t take the bait.

โ€œMy respect. According to him, heโ€™s looking out for his people,โ€ the gangster stated, adding, โ€œBut the problem is the consumers are in the United States. If there werenโ€™t any consumers, we would stop.โ€

Social media immediately mocked CNNโ€™s apparent attempt to elicit anti-Trump commentary from a member of a violent drug trafficking organization.

โ€œCNN tried to create a scandal and accidentally gave Trump a campaign ad. You canโ€™t script this kind of desperation,โ€ one user remarked.

โ€œUnbelievably, CNN gives Sinaloa cartel member a chance to throw a pity party about being labeled a terrorist, but the cartel member tells them President Trump is just rightly โ€˜looking after his people,’โ€ another social media user pointed out.

Senator Mike Lee (R-Utah) suggested, โ€œLet them [CNN] live under the rule of foreign terrorist drug traffickers for a few months. And then tell us how they feel.โ€

On Monday nightโ€™s edition of Fox News Channelโ€™s Hannity, Leavitt firmly joined the backlash camp when host Sean Hannity asked for her response to the interview, calling it โ€œdespicableโ€:

HANNITY: Karoline, what did you and the administration make of the Sinaloa cartel gang member interviewed on CNN? Why would they care what he thinks?

LEAVITT: Well, it was fascinating to me, Sean. I was actually scrolling on Instagram when I came across this interview and it stopped me in my tracks, not just because they sat down with a member of a Mexican cartel that is now designated as a foreign terrorist organization by the United States government, but because of the nature of the questions of this notorious foreign terrorist. It โ€” it was a softball interview, giving a platform to a notorious drug cartel that has killed American citizens. I thought it was quite despicable. But, again, this is just another reason why the โ€” the trust in the legacy media is at an all-time low amongst the American public.

Over the weekend, President Trump hit back at Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum after she rejected his offer to send U.S. troops to Mexico to help fight against cartels.

While addressing reporters on Air Force One, Trump said he proposed the idea of sending American troops to deal with the Mexican cartels facilitating drug trafficking, and criticized Sheinbaum for refusing his offer.

โ€œSheโ€™s so afraid of the cartels she canโ€™t walk โ€ฆ And I think sheโ€™s a lovely woman. The president of Mexico is a lovely woman, but she is so afraid of the cartels that she canโ€™t even think straight,โ€ Trump said.

Sheinbaum said she told Trump at the time that Mexico would โ€œnever acceptโ€ a U.S. military presence.

โ€œNo, President Trump, our territory is inalienable, sovereignty is inalienable,โ€ Sheinbaum claimed to have said. โ€œWe can collaborate. We can work together, but with you in your territory and us in ours. We can share information, but we will never accept the presence of the United States Army on our territory.โ€